Today I sold 3 MOS $50 puts for $3.80/share. My previous $45 MOS puts expired un-exercised last month. I still want MOS, since I like the company and I no longer have an agriculture position since I sold Agrium also last month). I compared MOS and AGU as long term investments.
AGU:
P/E ratio | 10.22
revenue / employee | $ 1.18 million
dividend yield | 0.21%
price / tangible book | 1.996
price / sales | 0.8293
price / free cash flow | 15.46
return on equity | 19%
return on assets | 16.89%
leverage | 2.166
current ratio | 1.953
debt / capital | 0.2679
net profit margin | 9.05%
Annualized 5Y revenue growth | 31%
YOY Revenue growth | 90%
Gross margin | 26%
EBITA margin | 9.5%
cash/share 2.29
MOS:
P/E ratio | 10.98
revenue / employee | $ 1.428 million
dividend yield | 0.28%
price / tangible book | 3.032
price / sales | 1.946
price / free cash flow | 19.05
return on equity | 30.87%
return on assets | 19.19%
leverage | 1.493
current ratio | 3.273
debt / capital | 0.1289
net profit margin | 9.22%
Annualized 5Y revenue growth | 34%
YOY Revenue growth | 4.9%
Gross margin |30%
EBITA margin | 28.3%
Cash/Share | 6.08
The two companies have very similar numbers, and either would make a good investment. For me, the deciding factor was the cash reserves held by MOS. MOS has a better current ratio, more cash per share, and is less leveraged. This cash hoard gives MOS more flexibility in its response to changing market conditions; it can afford to expand, buy a distressed rival, or hunker down in lean times.
In the ag space, I also really like Terra Nitrogen. However, I'm still trying wrap my head around their M.C. Escher business model Terra is both TRA (selling nitrogen products) and TNH (which owns a nitrogen manufacturing facility). Here's an excerpt from their website which attempts to clarify the relationship:
"[TRA]directly or indirectly holds approximately 75% of the outstanding common units of [TNH], which are traded on the New York Stock Exchange, and the remaining 25% of [TNH]’s units are held by the public. In addition to operating the [TNH] manufacturing facility in Verdigris, [TRA] also owns and operates five other North American manufacturing facilities, and has a 50% interest in an ammonia facility in Trinidad and 50% interest in GrowHow UK Ltd., a United Kingdom joint venture. [TRA] also has a deep-water terminal in Donaldsonville, Louisiana, and 50% interest in Houston Ammonia Terminal near Pasadena, Texas. "
TRA and TNH both have great management; ROE is 38% and 152% (!) respectively. However, while I can keep an eye on them, what about these little private companies? If GrowHow UK Ltd. accidentally vents ammonia gas, TRA will also be sued, whether or not they're actually responsible. Are these shipping arrangements in LA and TX bringing in income or are they just an expense? What if TRA decides to raise capital by selling it's 75% stake in TNH?
